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* Department of Pathology,
Center for Statistical Consultation and Research, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, MI 48109
| Abstract |
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, KC, MIP-2, MCP-1, and eotaxin) and anti-inflammatory (TNF soluble receptors, IL-10, IL-1 receptor antagonist) cytokines were observed in early deaths (days 15). These elevations occurred simultaneously for both the pro- and anti-inflammatory mediators. Plasma levels of IL-6 (26 ng/ml), TNF-
(12 ng/ml), KC (33 ng/ml), MIP-2 (14 ng/ml), IL-1 receptor antagonist (65 ng/ml), TNF soluble receptor I (3 ng/ml), and TNF soluble receptor II (14 ng/ml) accurately predicted mortality within 24 h. In contrast, these parameters were not elevated in either the late-deaths (day 628) or survivors. Surprisingly, either pro- or anti-inflammatory cytokines were also reliable in predicting mortality up to 48 h before outcome. These data demonstrate that the initial inflammatory response directly correlates to early but not late sepsis mortality. This multifaceted response questions the use of a simple proinflammatory cytokine measurement for classifying the inflammatory status during sepsis. | Introduction |
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9% of the overall annual mortality in the United States alone (2, 3). Given this substantial mortality and economic costs, a better understanding of the basic immune alterations in sepsis may help to direct therapy. Modulation of inflammatory signaling during sepsis has been considered as a possible means to improve survival in sepsis and prevent septic shock. Despite promising results of anti-inflammatory interventions in animal models (4, 5, 6) and human phase I and II trials (7, 8), phase III clinical trials generally failed to show any success (9, 10, 11) and in some cases even appeared detrimental (12). It has been postulated that the immune response in sepsis represents the interplay of two contrasting phenomena related to the inflammatory status of the septic patient. The early systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS)3 is characterized by excessive production of proinflammatory mediators (hyperinflammatory status). This early response is then progressively suppressed by the development of the compensatory anti-inflammatory response (hypoinflammatory status) syndrome (CARS) (13, 14, 15). This hypothesis was further supplemented by another acronym: the mixed anti-inflammatory response syndrome (MARS) representing temporary homeostasis between diminishing SIRS and ascending CARS (15, 16). However, these definitions are largely nonspecific and although undeniably useful in clinical and research settings, they require in-depth experimental verification before they can be accepted as an accurate portrayal of the complex immune fluctuations encountered in sepsis.
Retrospective statistical analyses of the unsuccessful phase III sepsis trials revealed a strong relationship between the treatment effect and risk of death, and attributed this discrepancy in mortality risk between preclinical testing and human clinical trials as a potential factor contributing to the failure of anti-inflammatory therapies (10, 17). The benefits of the anti-inflammatory intervention on survival were apparent in studies conducted with a high risk of death (18). Because the aggressive anti-inflammatory (or alternative) therapy would predominantly benefit patients with unfavorable outcome, the patient stratification before the implementation of nonstandard anti-inflammatory treatment is therefore critical. Despite certain shortcomings (15), plasma remains one of best sources for measurement of sepsis-related mediators enabling a rapid characterization of the patients inflammatory status. The increase in plasma levels of several inflammatory mediators is proportional to the sepsis severity and correlates with mortality (15). Using the cecal ligation and puncture (CLP) model of murine sepsis, we have previously demonstrated the robust prognostic value of IL-6 for determining lethality (19, 20, 21). Studies in septic patients further support such prognostic potential based on IL-6 and other (e.g., TNF-
, IL-1) cytokines (22, 23, 24).
In previous studies, a simple plasma measurement served as the basis to define the status of the immune response during ongoing sepsis (25) and patients are considered hyperinflammatory if proinflammatory cytokines are found at elevated levels. We now report that the early phase of lethal sepsis is characterized by the overexpression of both proinflammatory as well as anti-inflammatory cytokines. The rapid concurrent release of these pro- and anti-inflammatory mediators represents a central feature of the inflammatory response at the onset of sepsis. Defining the inflammatory status on the basis of a more complete plasma cytokine profile yields accurate prognostic information even if these values do not clearly define subjects into the traditional SIRS or CARS categories. In the current studies, we show that early mortality predictions based on plasma biomarkers during the early phase (days 15) of sepsis can be highly accurate, supporting an individualized, prognostic-based therapy as a potentially new strategy in the treatment of sepsis.
| Materials and Methods |
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Female ICR mice (Harlan Sprague Dawley) with an average weight of 22 g were used. The mice were acclimated to the laboratory environment for at least 48 h before surgery and housed in a temperature-controlled room with a 12-h light-12-h dark diurnal cycle after the procedure. All experiments were in accordance with National Institutes of Health guidelines and the University of Michigan Animal Care and Use Committee.
Sepsis model
The murine model of CLP used in the study closely emulates polymicrobial human sepsis and has been extensively used by others to investigate the immunopathology of sepsis (19, 20, 21, 26, 27). The 18-gauge needle size was used to produce
50% mortality during early sepsis. We followed the original CLP protocol (28) with previously described modifications (19).
Sampling
To collect peripheral blood, the distal tail was clipped (
2 mm) and 20 µl of blood was drawn into a pipette rinsed with EDTA (169 mM tripotassium salt). Mice were not sacrificed at the time of sampling. Blood was collected 6 h after CLP and at 24-h intervals for the first 5 days. The last individual cytokine measurement represents an animal that died within the 24 h after sampling. Samples were immediately diluted 1/10 in PBS with a 1/50 dilution of EDTA, centrifuged (5 min/1000 x g in 4°C), the plasma was removed and stored at 20°C until analysis.
Sequential ELISA
We developed a sequential ELISA to allow measurement of multiple cytokines from small volumes (29). The assay dramatically increases the number of biomarkers which may be measured in one sample by repeatedly reusing this sample in multiple successive cycles (30). The assay was based on the standard ELISA previously optimized for cytokine detection (31) and used commercially available matched Ab pairs (R&D Systems) as detailed elsewhere (29).
Statistical analysis
The Kaplan-Meier 28 day-survival curve (see Fig. 1) was plotted using Prism 4 (GraphPad Software). For early deaths (ED; dead by day 5), every data point shown in Figs. 24 represents the average concentration taken from the animals that died within the next 24 h, indicating a different group of animals at each time point. For the late death group (LD; dead after day 5) and survivors (SUR, lived to 28 days), the average concentration values at each time point are based on repetitive measurements taken from the same animals. The cytokine levels measured for the LD group and SUR largely overlapped, they were therefore pooled for comparison to the ED group. To determine whether the data for the LD and SUR groups could be pooled (p > 0.1 pooled, p
0.1 separate) and for comparisons of cytokine values between the ED and the pooled (or separate) values for LD and SUR, the nonparametric Wilcoxon rank-sum test (rather than t tests) was used because neither the original or log-transformed cytokine values were normally distributed. The values for the LD and SUR groups were pooled for all cytokines at all time points except: IL-10 at each time point, IL-1
and IL-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1ra) at 48 and 72 h only. For all figures (except 4) and tables, n = 90 for IL-6, TNF-
, KC, and IL-1ra and n = 80 for the remaining cytokines. Fig. 4 is based on n = 80. When the ED group was compared with remaining groups separately (data not pooled), the higher p value is listed on the graph.
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, IL-1
, KC, MIP-2, MCP-1, and eotaxin) and anti-inflammatory (IL-1ra, IL-10, TNF soluble receptors (SR) I and II) cytokines. Because the CLP-dependent activation of IL-6R resulted in its decrease rather than an increase, these values were excluded from the anti-inflammatory segment. Data are expressed as the mean ± SEMs wherever applicable. All statistical analyses were performed using SAS release 9.1.2 on Windows.
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| Results |
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A total of 90 mice were subjected to CLP on day 1 and monitored for 28 days. The early phase of sepsis was defined as the first 96 h after CLP, days 15. We selected the genetically heterogeneous ICR outbred strain of mice to generate a more diverse profile of immune responses, and more closely simulate the human population. The mortality at day 5 post-CLP reached 38%, and the overall mortality at the end of the study (day 28) was 62% (56/90 mice, dead/total, Fig. 1). It has been postulated that the early, post-CLP mortality results primarily from SIRS, whereas the late mortality is predominantly CARS dependent (15, 34). The mortality related to the acute phase of sepsis (ED, days 15) was separated from the late phase lethality (LD, days 628) based on the distribution of deaths found in our previous studies (19, 21, 35, 36, 37). This pattern was confirmed in the current experiment: 61% of total deaths (34/56 mice) in the study occurred during the first 5 days, whereas only 22 mice died between days 6 and 28 (24% mortality rate, Fig. 1). The single day mortality was highest between days 2 and 3 (n = 15).
Proinflammatory cytokine profiles in ED, LD, and SUR
It has been reported that mice subjected to CLP display high levels of proinflammatory cytokines such as IL-6, TNF-
, or MIP-2 (38, 39). We developed a sequential ELISA method (29) which enabled us to monitor changes of multiple inflammatory mediators from a single, 20-µl blood sample. The graphs in Figs. 2 and 3 were generated by averaging the individual cytokine profiles from all animals. Importantly, mice were not sacrificed for any of the data in this experiment and each animal was followed separately for 28 days or until death. Based on survival outcome, mice were retrospectively divided into three groups: dead by day 5, dead after day 5, and alive at 28 days (SUR). The proinflammatory mediators profiled in the study (Fig. 2) represent cytokines (IL-6, TNF-
, and IL-1
), CXC chemokines (KC and MIP-2), and CC chemokines (MCP-1 and eotaxin). Dividing the mice into the ED, LD, and SUR provided significant insights into potential mechanisms of mortality. Mice dying in the early phase of sepsis had significantly higher plasma cytokine levels for virtually all proinflammatory mediators (Fig. 2, AF) when compared with the SUR and LD groups. The cytokine increase was especially robust for IL-6 (Fig. 2A) such that levels in the ED group were 20-fold higher compared with the LD and SUR at the 24-h time. In LD group, the post-CLP cytokine levels were nearly superimposable with those animals who survived to 28 days. These results indicate that while the ED are directly correlated to significant production of proinflammatory cytokines, the late mortality was not correlated with the proinflammatory status during the initial phase of sepsis. These experimental data corroborate the widely held hypothesis that ED are due to an exuberant, proinflammatory response, but the next set of data show that these proinflammatory measurements fail to disclose the full story.
Anti-inflammatory cytokine profiles in ED, LD, and SUR
Although the proinflammatory mediators correlate with sepsis mortality, elevations in the levels of anti-inflammatory cytokines may also indicate a poor outcome (40, 41, 42). In our study, changes in the cytokine inhibitors mirrored those observed with the proinflammatory cytokines. Specifically, the temporal change of cytokine inhibitors in the LD and SUR were significantly lower than those mice dying in early sepsis (Fig. 3). There was an increase in the plasma levels of IL-1ra, IL-10, and TNF SR I and II (Fig. 3, AD). The concentration of IL-6R showed a unique trend with lower levels in the ED group (Fig. 3E). As in the case of the proinflammatory cytokines, these intergroup differences were already significant at the 6-h time point. The mortality during early sepsis coincided especially well with the levels of IL-1ra and the increase at 24 h was
11-fold higher when compared with the other two groups. The profiles of IL-1ra, TNF SR I and II, and IL-6R in mice dying after day 5 were virtually identical with the corresponding proinflammatory cytokine profiles in surviving animals. These results emphasize the tight correlation between the activation of anti-inflammatory signaling and mortality in the acute stages of sepsis. The evidence from Figs. 2 and 3 clearly indicates that the early inflammatory response accurately predicts early mortality but lacks prognostic value for deaths occurring in the late phase of the disease. This suggests that the late outcome is not "preprogrammed" during the early phase of sepsis.
Plasma pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines predict early mortality
Using the murine CLP model, we (21) and others (43) previously demonstrated that an increase in plasma IL-6 6 h after initiation of sepsis predicts early phase mortality. We wished to confirm these findings in the outbred ICR mice and to examine other potential biomarkers, including proinflammatory cytokines, chemokines, and anti-inflammatory cytokines (Table I), for their use in predicting outcome. As in our previous results (21), the mortality during the first 5 days was examined. ROC curves correlated the plasma cytokine levels taken 6 h after CLP with the status on day 5 (dead or alive), to test the prognostic accuracy and to select the optimal sensitivity/specificity based on the selected cutoff values. The ROC method is especially useful in the evaluation of patient diagnosis/prognosis and in the treatment decision making, because the cutoff guidelines may be adjusted to each therapy (33). In an aggressive treatment which may harm false-positive subjects, the separation would be based on a cutoff ensuring 100% specificity.
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0.85). The remaining cytokines failed to yield satisfactory predictive values. These results show that a single measurement of selected cytokines or inhibitors at the onset of sepsis can accurately predict the short-term outcome. This rapid diagnostic approach could be especially helpful during the initial evaluation of the critically ill patient, such as in the emergency room setting. Concerning the SIRS to CARS paradigm, 6 h after the onset of sepsis the plasma levels of the anti-inflammatory mediators (IL-1ra and IL-10) predicted mortality nearly as well as the prototypically proinflammatory cytokines. Data failing to support the hypothesized SIRS to CARS progression in early sepsis
Previous work has postulated that the immunological cascade triggered by sepsis displays a multimodal character (14, 15, 16, 44). The initial hyperinflammatory SIRS gradually recedes into a transient phase of MARS homeostasis which progresses into the hypoinflammatory CARS. Although this is a widely accepted paradigm, there are few data to support the underlying hypothesis. Measuring the individual plasma cytokines/inhibitors over time in our study period did not reveal a typical SIRS to CARS progression. One would anticipate the presence of proinflammatory cytokines in the plasma early followed at later time points by elevations in the anti-inflammatory cytokines. In mice dead by day 5, we noted an early rise of anti-inflammatory cytokines that occurred at the same time as the up-regulation of proinflammatory mediators (Fig. 2). To better illustrate the kinetics of inflammatory mediators, all cytokine and cytokine inhibitor values were normalized and grouped as pro- or anti-inflammatory. Comparison of the trajectories generated by either component revealed that the prelethal profiles of pro- and anti-inflammatory mediators demonstrated a strikingly similar temporal pattern (Fig. 4). The mediator surge was apparent as early as 6 h after CLP, spiking at the 24-h time point. These results show that during the early stage of lethal sepsis, there is a simultaneous release of both pro- and anti-inflammatory mediators into the general circulation. If only a single proinflammatory cytokine such as IL-6 were measured, the subject would be considered hyperinflammatory, while if a single anti-inflammatory inhibitor such as IL-1ra were measured, the subject would be classified as hypoinflammatory. Consequently, the classification of SIRS/CARS fluctuations during the ongoing peritonitis based only on the plasma biomarker profiling does not fully reflect the complex nature of the septic inflammatory response.
Prelethal IL-6 and IL-1ra changes in individual animals
To examine the temporal patterns of IL-6 and IL-1ra activation in individual moribund mice, the last two values from the consecutive measurements taken before death (48 and 24 h before death) were plotted for all individuals dying during the early phase of sepsis (Fig. 5). Because the animals that died within 24 h of CLP (n = 9) had only one recorded measurement (at 6 h), they were not included in this analysis (but these are displayed in Fig. 2A (IL-6) and 3A (IL-1ra)). The changes in plasma levels of IL-6 and IL-1ra are presented in Fig. 5. IL-6 and IL-1ra are characteristic of the activation trends of the other pro- and anti-inflammatory mediators and they were selected because they were among the best predictors of early mortality (Table I). In the majority of animals dying during the early phase of sepsis, there was a robust and simultaneous increase (between 48 and 24 h) of IL-6 and IL-1ra before death. This trend was especially clear in animals dying within the initial 3 days after CLP. In a few mice, death was not preceded by a clear increase of IL-6 and IL-1ra and one animal dead by day 4 had a distinct downward trend. Despite the decreasing tendency, however, both IL-6 and IL-1ra remained highly elevated and cytokine concentration changes followed a similar trajectory in all of these individuals. Interestingly, there was an opposite pattern of prelethal cytokine changes in three mice that died by day 5. Their death was preceded by an extremely low/undetectable cytokine levels and this trend was again identical for both IL-6 and IL-1ra (Fig. 5). These results indicate that in each individual animal, the temporal fluctuations of pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines in plasma occur simultaneously and follow the similar activation trajectory during deaths in the early phase of sepsis.
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All previous data have been reported on the basis of the time after the onset of sepsis, which helps to define the natural history of the disease. However, as observed in Fig. 1, animals die at different time points after the onset of sepsis. In the clinical situation, the precise onset of sepsis may not be known with certainty. We therefore analyzed the cytokine data using the time of death as the reference point rather than the onset of sepsis. We specifically evaluated the cytokine profiles of those mice who died by day 3 (highest single day mortality). This analysis was performed with an attempt to understand whether cytokine values 24 or 48 h before death would predict subsequent mortality. To determine the diagnostic use of the cytokine values, ROC curves and the total AUC were calculated. Several interesting observations are found within these data (Table II). With the exception of IL-10, all the cytokines values 24 h before death are better predictors of death than those obtained 48 h before death. Both proinflammatory cytokines, chemokines, as well as anti-inflammatory mediators (Table II) may serve as excellent indicators of impending mortality. In general, those components of the inflammatory response such as IL-6, KC, and IL-1ra that predicted mortality when measured at 6 h continue to have excellent accuracy. TNF had little value for predicting ED when measured either 6 h after the onset of sepsis or 48 h before death. However, TNF levels 24 h before death were highly accurate, indicating its dramatic prelethal release.
| Discussion |
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A concept has been proposed where septic patients begin with SIRS, transition to a MARS, and then progress to a CARS (15, 34). Although our data do not include components of the cellular response, the plasma cytokine data do not support such a simple, linear transition. The inflammatory status of the patient may be defined by the plasma concentrations of either the proinflammatory cytokines such as TNF and IL-6 or the anti-inflammatory cytokines such as IL-1ra or IL-10. Several previous studies have demonstrated that proinflammatory cytokines are elevated in septic patients and predict outcome (25, 48) and other studies have documented the presence of the anti-inflammatory mediators at the onset of sepsis (49). Mice dying within the first 5 days may be considered to have a heightened inflammatory response if this response is defined by the ability of the host to generate potent biological mediators. The determination of whether SIRS is present may be more accurately determined from the capacity of the host to respond rather than measurement of the mediators.
It should be noted that the SIRS and CARS syndromes were not defined only by circulating cytokine concentrations but also by the expression and/or immune responses of various cellular components. Previous work has shown that cells derived from septic patients have a markedly reduced capacity to produce cytokines following an ex vivo stimulation (50, 51). Experimental sepsis models demonstrate similar findings. Ayala et al. (52, 53, 54) showed in several reports that 24 h after CLP-induced sepsis, the capacity of septic mouse splenic/peritoneal macrophages to release cytokines was diminished. Specifically, ex vivo stimulation of these cells resulted in suppressed production of IL-2, IFN-
, and IL-6 while IL-4 and IL-10 synthesis was enhanced after LPS/concanavalin stimulus. Also, CARS-specific decrease of MHC class II expression was reported early (within 24 h) in both experimental murine (55) and human (56) sepsis.
Measuring the plasma levels of both the pro and anti-inflammatory cytokines represents a rapid method for evaluating function rather than performing ex vivo stimulation. The presence of the mediators may have significant prognostic implications not because of their proposed biological function, but rather because the host is capable of producing them.
There are implications for the clinical treatment of patients from our studies. The previous approach of measuring simple physiologic and immune status parameters such as heart rate or white blood cell count (57) is almost certainly not sufficient to direct appropriate therapy to the individual patient. Some patients with sepsis die from an apparent exuberant inflammatory response which injures cells, tissues, and organs, resulting in death. These patients would most likely benefit from a reduction of the inflammatory response. As the recent Lenercept trial shows (58), the 672 h (postinjection) serum concentrations achieved with recombinant soluble TNF SR I (p55) during the treatment for human sepsis were substantially higher (by 23 logs) than the post-CLP concentration of endogenous TNF SR I observed here and in human sepsis (59, 60). Hence, it is unlikely that the treatment failure was due to the inadequate supplementation of the endogenous pool of TNF SR I with the exogenous TNFR. Given these data, it remains problematic whether attenuation of the early excessive inflammatory response can be adequately achieved by targeting only individual proinflammatory components. We noted a significant improvement in post-CLP survival when the combined (i.e., TNF SR I and IL-1ra) immunotherapy was used (36)
In contrast to the hyperinflammatory patients, other subjects have difficulty defending themselves against the microbial invasion (61). These patients would be unlikely to benefit from therapies directed at blunting the inflammatory response. Similar to virtually all other human diseases, the response to disease changes over time such that the therapy appropriate for the patient on Monday may not be appropriate on Tuesday.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Disclosures |
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| Footnotes |
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1 This work was supported in part by National Institutes of Health Grant GM 67189. ![]()
2 Address correspondence and reprint requests to Dr. Daniel G. Remick, Department of Pathology, University of Michigan Medical School, M2210 Medical Science I, 1301 Catherine Road, Ann Arbor, MI 48109. E-mail address: remickd{at}umich.edu ![]()
3 Abbreviations used in this paper: SIRS, systemic inflammatory response syndrome; MARS, mixed anti-inflammatory response syndrome; CARS, compensatory anti-inflammatory response syndrome; CLP, cecal ligation and puncture; ED, early death; LD, late death; SUR, survivor; IL-1ra, IL-1 receptor antagonist; ROC, receiver operating characteristic curve; AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval; SR, soluble receptor. ![]()
Received for publication March 23, 2006. Accepted for publication May 15, 2006.
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