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*
Department of Medicine, Division of Oncology, and Department of Health Research and Policy, and
Department of Statistics, Stanford University Medical Center, Stanford, CA 94305
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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In the present work, we propose a new method for estimation of Ag selection pressure on Ig genes that corrects the pitfalls mentioned above and apply this method to previously published Ig gene sequences.
| Materials and Methods |
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The probability that an excess or scarcity of R mutations in VH CDR or FR occurred by chance was calculated by a multinomial distribution model (6). The total number of mutations in each VH gene is denoted by n = r1 + s1 + r2 + s2, in which r1 and r2 are R mutations in the FR and CDR, respectively, and correspondingly, s1 and s2 are S mutations in the FR and CDR. The theoretical probabilities for r1, s1, r2, and s2 mutations are denoted by p1, q1, p2, and q2, respectively. These probabilities were calculated using the following equations: p1 = RfFR x LrFR; q1 = (1- RfFR) x LrFR; p2 = RfCDR x (1- LrFR); and q2 = (1- RfCDR) x (1- LrFR) in which LrFR is a relative size of the FR, and RfFR and RfCDR are the inherent susceptibility to R mutations of the FRs and CDRs, respectively. RfFR and RfCDR were calculated for each of the identified human germline genes and were based on the chance of the occurrence in each codon of an amino acid replacement given any single nucleotide change not resulting in a termination codon.
The probability of observing r1 or fewer R
mutations in FRs is given by the multinomial tail probability:
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r1) -
P(R1
r1 -1), and
P(R1 <
r1) =
P(R1
r1) -
P(R1 =
r1).
The probability of observing r2 or
more R mutations in CDRs is similarly computed using the following
equation:
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There is an approximate method for computing P
values for this problem. We calculate the expected number of R
mutations in the FR: E =
p1 x n. Then we compute
the standardized deviation:
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Assessment of the equation
To assess the applicability of this equation and to compare the results obtained by this method to those previously reported by application of the Chang and Casali equation (5), we evaluated Ag selection pressure on 7 autoantibodies evaluated by Chang and Casali (5), 24 autoantibodies and lymphoma-derived VH genes randomly selected from previously published articles (7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12), and 55 VH gene sequences derived from diffuse large B cell lymphoma cases established in our laboratory (13). For this comparison, we used the RfFR and RfCDR values implied in these articles. Recalculation of these values resulted in slightly different Rf values for some of the VH genes. The discrepancies most probably result from the use of slightly different germline sequences before the final sequence of the VH gene locus was established and from the use of sequences in which there are polymorphic variations. For the future calculation of the Rf values, we suggest using our JAVA applet, available at http://www-stat.stanford.edu/imuunoglobin, which calculates the Rf values for imported germline sequences.
| Results |
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| Discussion |
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In the present work, we propose a new statistical method for estimation of Ag selection. It corrects the pitfalls present in the previous method while still taking into account the inherent susceptibility of the codons of the CDR and the FR to R mutations. One consideration not addressed here is the known propensity for certain positions to mutatehot spots (14). Our equation assumes that mutations in VH genes occur randomly, thus disregarding the possible contribution from intrinsic biases in the hypermutation mechanisms due to the presence of mutational hot spots. Since the hot spots are located in CDRs but not in FRs, the assumption that mutations in FRs occur randomly is absolutely correct. Regarding the CDRs, to consider mutational hot spots, one would need to know all the hot spots in each VH gene sequence and their relative propensity to undergo mutations in comparison to each remaining non-hot spot codon in the sequence. Consideration of these hot spots may require a custom equation for each VH gene sequence, thus precluding its wide applicability. Until the data required to construct the custom equation for each germline VH gene sequence exists, our model can provide good approximation of the Ag selection on Ig genes.
In conclusion, we suggest the use of the multinomial model for all future analysis of Ag selection. The investigators should compare the tested Ig gene sequence to the most similar germline sequence, with particular attention to the presence of known polymorphic variants. The JAVA applet for computing the multinomial P values and Rf values of CDRs and FRs is available at http://www-stat.stanford.edu/immunoglobin. Usage of this applet will allow uniform analysis of Ig sequences and prevent possible errors that may occur while calculating the Rf values.
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| Footnotes |
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2 Address correspondence and reprint requests to Dr. Ronald Levy, Division of Oncology CCSR 1126, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305-5306. ![]()
3 Abbreviations used in this paper: R, replacement; S, silent; CDR, complementary-determining region; FR, framework region. ![]()
Received for publication December 16, 1999. Accepted for publication August 9, 2000.
| References |
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genes. Clin. Exp. Immunol. 115:168.[Medline]
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